Japan’s Next PM Must Work Quickly on Virus, Economy, China

Japan's Next PM Must Work Quickly on Virus, Economy, China

Tokyo (AP) The stakes are high as Japanese governing party members vote Wednesday for four candidates seeking to exchange Yoshihide Suga as prime minister. subsequent leader must address a pandemic-battered economy, a newly empowered military operating during a dangerous neighborhood, crucial ties with an inward-focused ally, Washington, and tense security standoffs with an emboldened China and its ally North Korea . For the long-governing Liberal Democratic Party that always chooses its leaders in backroom negotiations, this election promises to be wide open. due to the party’s control of parliament, its leader will become prime minister. Whoever wins, the party desperately needs new ideas to quickly rotate plunging public support before lower house elections coming within two months, observers say. Unusually, two women conservative Sanae Takaichi and more liberal Seiko Noda are competing against front-running Taro Kono, the vaccinations minister, and former secretary of state Fumio Kishida.

Takaichi, with the crucial backing of Suga’s predecessor, former Prime Minister Shinzo Abe, whose conservative vision and revisionist stance she supports, has risen fast, while Noda’s likelihood is that fading. Abe’s backing of Takaichi could also be an effort to enhance the party’s sexist image and divert votes from Kono, considered something of a maverick and a reformist, political watchers say. Little change is predicted in key diplomatic and security policies under the new leader, said Yu Uchiyama, a politics professor at the University of Tokyo. All of the candidates support close Japan-U.S. security ties and partnerships with other like-minded democracies in Asia and Europe, partially as how to counter China’s growing influence.

Kono and Kishida are former top diplomats. They and Noda have stressed the necessity for dialogue with China as a crucial neighbor and trade partner. All four candidates support maintaining close practical ties with Taiwan, the self-governing island that China claims as its own, and its intention of joining the Trans-Pacific Partnership trade bloc and other international organizations. At a series of policy debates, the four candidates discussed diplomacy, the economy, energy and defense issues, but also gender equality and sexual diversity, which the male-dominated Conservative Party has rarely discussed within the past. Inclusion of gender and variety signals that the party knows it cannot keep neglecting the problems , said Ryosuke Nishida, a sociology and public policy professor at the Tokyo Institute of Technology.

Takaichi alone opposes changing a law that forces married couples to use just one surname nearly always the husband’s. She also has vowed to form official visits to Yasukuni Shrine, which honors war II dead, including war criminals, and is taken into account by many in China and therefore the Koreas as proof of Japan’s lack of remorse over its wartime actions. the opposite candidates are likely to refrain from visiting Yasukuni due to the fallout in relations with China and South Korea . Support for Suga’s government nosedived over his handling of the coronavirus and his insistence on hosting the Tokyo Olympics during the pandemic. a part of his loss of support has also been linked by analysts to the party’s sense of complacency and increasingly high-handed approach forged during Abe’s long years of leadership.

Wednesday’s vote is seen as a test of whether the party can move out of Abe’s shadow. His influence in government and party affairs has largely muzzled diverse views and steadily shifted the party to the proper , experts say. What’s at stake is that the state of democracy in Japan, and if or how the new leader is willing to concentrate to the people’s voices and take them into political consideration, Uchiyama said. Prime Minister Suga obviously had a drag with communicating with the people and didn’t provide accountability. Unlike the previous vote, when Suga’s selection was largely a done-deal orchestrated by party leaders, the vote on Wednesday is more unpredictable, with most factions allowing free voting by their member lawmakers, a rare move for the party.

Many general voters are watching the party vote, and governing party lawmakers successively are paying close attention to popular opinion within the ir quest to be re-elected in the upcoming parliamentary election. The party vote could end an era of bizarre political stability despite corruption scandals and strained security ties with China and therefore the Koreas and convey a return to Japan’s revolving door leadership by short-lived prime ministers, starting with Suga.

Suga is leaving only a year after taking office as a substitute for Abe, who suddenly resigned over health problems, ending his nearly eight-year leadership, the longest in Japan’s constitutional history. Support ratings for Suga and his government have slightly recovered since his resignation announcement in early September, when virus infections also began to slow. the amount of latest daily cases dropped to 2,129 on Sunday, about one-tenth the extent in mid-August. Japan has recorded about 1.69 million cases and 17,500 deaths.

Much of the sharp drop by cases is attributed to vaccination progress; about 56% of the country has now been fully vaccinated. the govt is predicted to lift a monthslong coronavirus state of emergency on Sept. 30, and other people anticipate to returning to their daily lives. Opposition parties, meanwhile, haven’t been ready to position themselves as vehicles for viable change. many of us tend to react to issues that directly affect their daily lives but pay little attention to politics and issues like national security, Nishida said. Once the infections slow, virus fears will fade quickly and even the Olympics are going to be remembered favorably.” (AP) .

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